All Service Picks Revealed 15 Minutes After Each Game Starts!

Don’t Get Scammed by Illegitimate Records or Improbable Returns!

**KEY BENEFITS**

All my service picks revealed 15 minutes after each game starts for 100% transparency.

All my service records and units gained / lost are accurate, legitimate, and documented.

I cannot alter, hide, or delete picks nor can records or units be tampered with or forged.

Purchase access to my service picks with confidence and securely using PayPal. 100% Secure.

Track my pick results (units gained / lost and ROI) during access for each of your purchases individually.

Get custom bet risk amount recommendations based on any bankroll size you specify.

Get SMS text or email alerts each time that my service adds a pick, you will have access to that pick.

Thus, the majority of sports bettors are often fixated on their winning percentage under the false perception that a good winning percentage will lead to money to count. This is **NOT** the case!

If you buy my picks, one of the things you will have to do is accept that you will lose more bets than you win using my picks. However, you will soon enough understand that the search for a high winning percentage is the fastest way to lose money because it leads to taking sucker bets and those that the book has an obvious, built-in advantage on.

While you are losing more of your bets, you will be making more money. That is just the way the lines work when you play them correctly and use my picks. ** REMEMBER, we only need to win 34% of our bets!**

Winning percentage is ALWAYS going to be a reflection of the lines you bet. Most will tell you that it takes a 52.4% win rate to break even in sports betting. That is FALSE.

In my opinion, **always bet to win more than you risk because that is the one certain way to make sure the books do NOT have a monetary advantage.**

I have found that the higher the lines, within reason, the more profit potential there is in the bet.

Like any sport on the money line, you want to find games that match up equal teams while paying a

strong dog a big payout, or as close as you can find. The closer the two teams are, the more likely the

payout on a dog win.

When looking for the perfect money line game, we want a winning team that pays out pretty good.

Just remember, by buying my picks, you will win more money by losing more of your bets and that is what you want to do! Isn’t it?

]]>When you look at the word value in the dictionary as a noun, you will find it defined as *“an amount, as of goods, services or money, considered to be a fair and suitable equivalent for something else; a fair price of return.”* As a verb, value is defined as* “to estimate the value or worth of; to rate a certain price; to appraise; to reckon with a certain number, power, importance, etc.”*

Simply put, value is a *“good buy”.* When investing in a stock or real estate, value is anything that you get at a lower price now than what the future price will be. If you purchase land at 80% of the cost it would normally be bought at, you have gotten good value if the land comes with no strings attached and no problems. You have essentially bought the land for 80 cents on the dollar.

If that land investment turns into a huge profit down the road, you have gotten good* “value”*. You paid 20% less for the land and now you are making a profit. The more cash you make in comparison to what you spent on the land determines the value.

Of course, there are a lot of things that go into figuring out if land has value at the purchasing price. You have to consider how close or far away it is from an urban area, by the surrounding neighborhoods, how much traffic it gets, the per capita income of local residents, and much, much more.

For example, land bought in a residential area but is located in an area that sees a lot of industrial traffic is considered to have a diminished value. Take that same piece of land with the same kind of traffic and use it for an industrial mall and the value would increase.

Now, you might be wondering how this relates to sports handicapping. Value in sports handicapping is determined by the point spread, total or money line. Is the bet you are making on either side good value because it is sure to pay off? The answer is no because nothing is a sure thing in sports betting.

The key is to find value in lines over time that will lead to a great return on investment. The more value you find in a line, the more you should be betting on it. The less value you find, the less you should be betting on it. In this way, you can see both aspects of value as it relates to the present (the spread) and the future (increased bet size for bigger profit).

Value can come from a number of different aspects of sports betting, whether it be trends, matchups, depth and other factors. Since the betting public prefers to the favored team, I find it a lot easier finding value on underdogs. You really can find value in moneylines where it costs more to win less on the favored team, thus taking the underdog where you more by betting less.

Straight up records mean nothing in sports betting. It is all about the point spread. A team sitting at the bottom of the Eastern Conference can have a better ATS record than a team at the top. An NBA team may have a straight up record of 4-12 but an ATS record of 13-3. A team like this would offer great value against the spread but terrible value on the money line.

To find value, I like to set a line for myself after handicapping the game and then check my line against the actual Vegas line. If it is 3 or more points off, there is usually some value there. If it is 5-10 points off, then it is a play that I really love and will not hesitate to load up on.

One way to find value is to compare the lines from previous games to the current one. This especially works when comparing lines against similar teams that your team is playing that day. Another is to check head-to-head history and see what past lines were in comparison to today’s line. I especially like using this for NBA totals. If teams tend to play in defensive battles when they get together, then they are likely to do so again, or vice versa.

The best way to maximize the value you get on a particular game is to shop around for the best lines. One sports book can give you an extra half-point on the spread, and another may offer you more cash on the moneyline. The best way to take advantage is to be signed up at various books with your account loaded and ready to go. Thus, all the sports books on this site are rated the top sports books in the industry

]]>Compare and think about the lines for a few minutes. How much are you betting per game? How many games do you bet (per day, per week, per year)? Most sports bettors throw hundreds or even thousands of dollars away each year because they do **NOT** line shop. This applies to losing sports bettors the same as it does to winners. Losing bettors end up losing considerably more than they should, while winning bettors do **NOT** win as much as they could.

While the ability to pick winners is nice, more often than **NOT** sports bettors are going off instinct and cannot win at a high enough amount to beat the vig. When shopping multiple betting sites for the best price, the effects of vig are nearly negated entirely.

**Understanding Half Point Value**

When shopping betting sites, both point spread and price are a concern. Deciding between +4 or +4.5, when both are equally priced, is a no brainer; we are going to take the extra half point. Where it becomes a challenge is when one site is offering +4.5 -110 and the other +4 -103. A professional sports bettor would head to his NBA database and calculate that over the past five years underdogs have lost by exactly 4 points 3.38% of the time. He might choose to refine that further, running only games where the spread was 3.5 to 5.5, or where the total predicted scores were similar, and then take weighted average.

To calculate which line is better, the first thing we need to know is how often we must win at -103 to break even. The math for that is risk divided by potential return. While we can solve this with simple algebra, the math is boring; so let’s just Google search *“Moneyline Converter”*. Using a moneyline/percentage calculator, plug in 52.43% to determine +4 -103 is the same as +4.5 -110. Therefore, while not by much, we are getting a little better expectation on +4.5 -110, so that is the line we will bet.

If you are betting professionally as a source of income, you will eventually want to get a database where you can calculate push rates on your own. For the casual bettor, here is some rough value of half points on and off of key numbers.

1=5.5 cents, 2=4 cents, 3=22 cents, 4=7.2 cents, 5=3.4 cents, 6=7 cents, 7=12 cents, 8=4.5 cents, 9=1.8 cents, 10=10.4 cents, 11=4.5 cents, 12=0.9 cents, 13=2.6 cents, 14=10.5 cents

To explain the above so it is clear, you will see 1 point is worth 5.5 cents. This means that +1.5 -110 is the same as +1 -104.5. Take another example, where 7 is worth 12 cents. This means +6.5 +100 is the same as +7 -112, and the same as +7.5 -124. As you can see in the second example, this can be used both ways. It also can be used on the favorite: -7.5 +100 is the same as -7 -112, which is the same as -6.5 -124. The push charts shared above are good enough for the casual gambler shopping lines.

Although, I say avoid buying points, there are exceptions.

Most online sports books offer players the opportunity to purchase half points at 10 cents each when the 3 or 7 is not involved. While this is generally a bad idea, looking at the push chart above you will find 10 and 14 are worth more than 10 cents. Therefore, after all your line shopping is done, if the bookmaker also sells half points at 10 cents, you should purchase them under the following circumstances:

1) +9.5 to +10 always purchase one or two half points to get the line to +10.5

2) -10.5 to -10 always purchase one or two half points to get the line to -9.5

3) +13.5 to +14 always purchase one or two half points to get the line to +14.5

4) -14.5 to -14 always purchase one or two half points to get the line to -13.5

Remember, in all the above examples, we are only buying these half points if they are sold at 10 cents each. These are probably the only half points you want to buy.

]]>