Winning Baseball Betting Systems Articles | Gambling

By: Richard Bleuze

During the past few years, I have noticed the following tips that might help you handicap a baseball game.  There are lots of baseball betting systems.  However, I think that you will find the baseball betting systems below to be winners for you!

1.  Home Series Game:

Go for the home team in the first game of a series if they are coming off a series win or tie versus a team off a straight up loss as well as a series loss.  Our team must be coming into this series putting up good offensive numbers so they must have scored 5 or more runs in their previous game.

The home field advantage in baseball is not as easy to define as it is in other sports. You have to realize that the home field advantage in baseball is the strongest in the beginning of the series. The road team gets more acclimated to playing on the road in Games 3 and 4 of the series. So find these home teams the strongest bet in the beginning.

If our home team is putting up good offensive numbers they will be coming into the series with a great deal of confidence and will look to extend their streak. Since their opponent is coming off a series loss and has to travel to an opponent's city, they are at a small disadvantage physically and mentally

2.  Home Favorites Betting System:

Go for a small home favorite that has won 6+ home games in last 10 attempts and has 3 or more home wins than losses and going against an above 500 team that has won less than 6 road games in last 10 attempts. The opponent must have less than 6 wins and have a below 500 road record. This must not be the first game of the series.

Home field advantage may not be much in baseball, however, it does exist. With proper motivation and one-sided betting action on the road team, value can be had betting on home teams.

We all heard the saying that it is tough to sweep a home team.  Home teams if they lose the first two games, will usually win the third game of a series.

We know that people love to bet on favorites.  Thus, if the road team was a favorite in the first two games of the series and you won money, then it would be sufficient to say that most of the betting handle would go to the road team in the third game.  That's why you go with the home team.

3.  Bet The Runline When Betting On Favorites System:

How can one bet a favorite with an underdog price: the answer is betting the favorite on the runline.

Most people love to bet favorites on the run line to lessen their risk amount and increase the payout.  Thus, if our team was to lose on the run line in the first two games then certainly more betting handle would be on the road team in Game 3.  

The author suggest playing the favorites on the moneyline up until –130. Anything higher than this line, the author suggests to bet the favorite on the runline.

4.  Road Underdogs Betting System:

Go for any road underdog off a loss in an Interleague Game that has scored an average of 4.5 or more runs per game loss 5 and has won 5 or more games.

This is a total momentum play.  History contends that they keep up their momentum more often than not just based on their great offensive stats.

5.  Betting Baseball Underdogs:

Betting on baseball underdogs consistently and winning is one of the first steps in successful baseball handicapping.  There are numerous factors that go into defining what makes a profitable underdog in baseball.  The money line odds in baseball are almost always tied to the starting pitcher so the key to baseball handicapping is to find factors outside of the realm of starting pitching to make your decision, such as the bullpen.

As a rule,underdogs are 4 times less riskier than favories?  Why, because of the juice.  Remember, the public by and large loves to bet the favorite and Vegas puts far less value on the spread of the favorites.  It is easy to know that a favorite team should win and is very likely to win but you must compare the likelihood of this favorite of winning to the spread.

Now that we know that underdogs are a less riskier bet, here are a couple of factors that you should look at when betting underdogs.

a)  At home against division rivals. Teams play their best ball against division rivals and with the low scoring affairs in baseball, most division rivalry games are evenly matched.

b)  Good offensive production over the past week.

c)  The underdog team is on a cool winning streak or is playing well over their past 10 or 15 games.
 
d)  The underdog team is going against a lefty or a righty which it does well against.

If you can find teams satisfying 2 of the 4 situations going against the favorite then chances are you have a decent bet on your hands.

So as you look to bet on teams, it is not sufficient enough to evaluate the game itself.  Spend a little time to analyze where the betting action is going and fade the public for value.  The above are what I have found to be winning baseball betting systems and I am sure they will work for you!