You Can Win Money Betting On Sports

The fact is, if you do NOT know why it is possible to win in the first place there is almost no chance that you will be able to do so. How can you manipulate a game to work for you if you do NOT understand how it is working against you now? Most people just start placing bets with no idea of how to win the game they play. The results are good for the books, but bad for your bankroll.

Many think that winning more bets is the only answer. After all, if you win more bets than you lose you will win money. Sounds easy enough does it NOT?

It is NOT that simple. Winning more bets does NOT mean you will win more money. Or even win money at all. In fact, most of the time winning more bets means you are less likely to win money because to win a lot of bets you have to bet a lot of bad lines.

The biggest difference between myself and the other guys is that I know how to win a lot of money, and they know how to win a lot of bets. Of course, I know how to win a lot of bets too. I just choose to focus on making the money.

So why is it possible to make money betting on sports betting?

It is because you get to control the rules you play by. You never have to place a bet you do NOT like, or that gives the book an advantage. If you make the right rules or follow someone like me, you will only place bets when you have the advantage.

When it comes to sports betting, the casinos have no such control. So they try to offset that by offering bets where the winning side pays them off the top out of their winnings. That is why point spreads and totals are their most common bets.

They also know that most people like to bet on favorites, so they shade the lines making it more expensive to bet on them. For example, if a dog has a line of +150, the favorite will usually be going off at -160 to -170.

As far as probabilities go, the book has decided the +150 dog has a 40% chance of winning the game and is going off at even money in relation to the probabilities. The favorite has a 60% chance of winning, and is going off at -120 in relation to the actual probabilities. The monetary disadvantage inherent in a point spread bet and paid by the winner is shouldered by the favorite bettor on the money line.

That may be an oversimplification, but is a good illustration for my purpose. In the end, the numbers the books put out are not the true probabilities as computed. They also include the sports bettors tendencies as a part of the formula, and are adjusted accordingly and as needed to guarantee the books advantage. The only probability that really matters to the book is the one that says it will profit 100% of the time.

So what can you do about it?

To gain a monetary advantage all you have to do is avoid bets where the books has one.

With sports betting, you can bet only games that have a +150 payout, or more. You can bet only on teams that have winning records. You can look at the stats before the bet is made, which is like looking at the card count. And you can see the most recent form of the team, including injuries and recent record, which is like looking at the first card.

It is all out there in the open, for anybody to see. And it is for you to decide if you want to bet or not. The book can’t force you to if things do NOT look right. You never have to bet for the sake of making a bet.

So there you have it. You can win money sports betting because you control the rules you play by. You never have to play when the books have an advantage on the bet. Instead, you only bet when you have an advantage. On days you can’t find an advantage, sit out.

The one who holds the monetary advantage on the most bets will be the long term winner. Since you get to make the rules, that should ALWAYS be you.

Translate »
Skip to toolbar